Details of Award
NERC Reference : NER/T/S/2002/00987
The probability of rapid climate change.
Grant Award
- Principal Investigator:
- Professor P Challenor, Durham University, Mathematical Sciences
- Co-Investigator:
- Professor PD Killworth, NOC (Up to 31.10.2019), Science and Technology
- Co-Investigator:
- Professor J Oakley, University of Sheffield, Mathematics and Statistics
- Co-Investigator:
- Professor M Goldstein, Durham University, Mathematical Sciences
- Co-Investigator:
- Professor A O'hagan, University of Sheffield, Probability and Statistics
- Grant held at:
- Durham University, Mathematical Sciences
- Science Area:
- Marine
- Atmospheric
- Overall Classification:
- Marine
- ENRIs:
- Global Change
- Science Topics:
- Climate & Climate Change
- Abstract:
- We propose to assess the probability of rapid climate change under future climate scenarios, in particular different greenhouse gas concentration profiles. We will use Bayesian statistical methods to synthesize all sources of uncertainty using expert knowledge, ocean and climate data, and informative runs of coupled ocean/atmosphere models, applying recently developed methodology for the analysis of large slow computer simulators. We will start with an intermediate-complexity model, C-GOLDSTEIN, using this as a stepping-stone to analysing a full climate GCM such as HADCM3.
- Period of Award:
- 1 Jan 2004 - 31 Dec 2006
- Value:
- £173,075 Split Award
Authorised funds only
- NERC Reference:
- NER/T/S/2002/00987
- Grant Stage:
- Completed
- Scheme:
- Directed Pre FEC
- Grant Status:
- Closed
- Programme:
- Rapid Climate Change
This grant award has a total value of £173,075
FDAB - Financial Details (Award breakdown by headings)
| Total - Staff | Total - T&S | Total - Indirect Costs | Total - Equipment |
|---|---|---|---|
| £109,943 | £8,094 | £50,574 | £4,465 |
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