Details of Award
NERC Reference : NER/A/S/2002/00881
Probabilistic climate forecasting with climateprediction.net
Grant Award
- Principal Investigator:
- Professor MR Allen, University of Oxford, Oxford Physics
- Co-Investigator:
- Dr M Collins, University of Reading, Meteorology
- Co-Investigator:
- Dr J Kettleborough, STFC - Laboratories, RAL Space
- Co-Investigator:
- Professor A Thorpe, ECMWF (UK), Reading Office
- Co-Investigator:
- Professor LA Smith, London School of Economics & Pol Sci, Statistics
- Grant held at:
- University of Oxford, Oxford Physics
- Science Area:
- Terrestrial
- Marine
- Freshwater
- Atmospheric
- Overall Classification:
- Atmospheric
- ENRIs:
- Pollution and Waste
- Natural Resource Management
- Global Change
- Environmental Risks and Hazards
- Science Topics:
- Ocean - Atmosphere Interact.
- Conservation Ecology
- Regional & Extreme Weather
- Climate & Climate Change
- Abstract:
- Systematic probabilistic forecasts of anthropogenic climate change require very large ensemble simulations with fully coupled three-dimensional climate models because of the need to explore uncertainty in initial conditions, external forcing and model response. The climateprediction.net software has been developed to allow such simulations to be performed using the Met Office Unified Model, both at current (HadCM3) climate resolution and for higher resolution 'timeslice' experiments, running on idle processing capacity on personal computers. The software is now in final stages of testing prior to a public launch in early 2003. This proposal is to fund scientific implementation, development and analysis of the climateprediction.net experiment with the aim of producing the most comprehensive objective analysis of uncertainty in long-range climate forecasts yet performed for input to the IPCC Fourth Assessment in 2007.
- NERC Reference:
- NER/A/S/2002/00881
- Grant Stage:
- Completed
- Scheme:
- Standard Grants Pre FEC
- Grant Status:
- Closed
- Programme:
- Standard Grant
This grant award has a total value of £306,778
FDAB - Financial Details (Award breakdown by headings)
| Total - T&S | Total - Staff | Total - Other Costs | Total - Equipment | Total - Indirect Costs |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| £14,054 | £185,136 | £2,342 | £3,525 | £101,721 |
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