Details of Award
NERC Reference : NER/A/S/2002/00760
Predictability of Extra-tropical Cyclones - THORpex.
Grant Award
- Principal Investigator:
- Professor Sir B Hoskins, University of Reading, Meteorology
- Grant held at:
- University of Reading, Meteorology
- Science Area:
- Atmospheric
- Overall Classification:
- Atmospheric
- ENRIs:
- Environmental Risks and Hazards
- Science Topics:
- Large Scale Dynamics/Transport
- Tropospheric Processes
- Regional & Extreme Weather
- Abstract:
- The skilful prediction of high-impact weather remains one of the greatest scientific and societal challenges of the 21st century. The factors that limit the predictability of these systems are not fully understood. Some high-impact storms are well predicted, even at 7 days range, whilst others are poorly forecast only 24 hours in advance. In this project the forecast error that arises from both initial condition and model error will be examined to devise a unified theoretical framework in which forecast error growth in real models exhibiting both types of error can be considered. The focus is on the relative roles of model and initial condition error but also on targeting additional observations. This research will use a simplified forecast model as well as using operational products from NWP models. The research will be part of the international programme THORpex.
- NERC Reference:
- NER/A/S/2002/00760
- Grant Stage:
- Completed
- Scheme:
- Standard Grants Pre FEC
- Grant Status:
- Closed
- Programme:
- Standard Grant
This grant award has a total value of £169,215
FDAB - Financial Details (Award breakdown by headings)
| Total - Staff | Total - T&S | Total - Other Costs | Total - Indirect Costs | Total - Equipment |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| £104,196 | £5,606 | £1,557 | £47,930 | £9,926 |
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