Details of Award
NERC Reference : NE/S00968X/1
What causes tectonic tremor? Investigating tremor's origins and implications with seismology
Grant Award
- Principal Investigator:
- Dr JC Hawthorne, University of Oxford, Earth Sciences
- Grant held at:
- University of Oxford, Earth Sciences
- Science Area:
- Earth
- Overall Classification:
- Panel A
- ENRIs:
- Environmental Risks and Hazards
- Natural Resource Management
- Science Topics:
- Earthquakes
- Seismicity
- Tectonic systems
- Geohazards
- Tectonic Processes
- Earthquakes
- Faulting
- Tectonic modelling
- Abstract:
- Over the past two decades, improving seismic and geodetic data have revealed that many faults accumulate their slip via a suite of phenomena that are not predicted by conventional friction laws: via slow earthquakes, or fault slip events whose average slip rates are between 0.1 microns/s and 1 mm/s, a factor of 1 thousand to 10 million slower than the 1 m/s slip rates typical of earthquakes. Slow earthquakes are now found at most subduction zones, where they accommodate about half of the plate interface slip in the region down-dip of the seismogenic zone. But currently, we do not know which fault zone processes generate the aseismic slip we observe in slow earthquakes. It is important to improve our understanding of slow earthquakes because they occur next to the seismogenic zone. They are capable of triggering large and damaging earthquakes. In this project, we focus on the smallest but most abundant slow earthquakes: tremor. Tremor consists of hundreds to millions of small, closely spaced, slow earthquakes. The earthquakes can be rapidly observed and could be used to track larger-scale aseismic slip variations and to assess whether that slip could trigger hazardous seismic slip. But like other slow earthquakes, tremor remains poorly understood. The goal of this project is to determine which physical process creates tremor and limits its slip rates to around 1 mm/s. Several explanations of tremor's low slip rates have been proposed. It is possible that tremor is governed by the same frictional sliding process that governs normal earthquakes. Tremor may be slow only because the fault's frictional strength or normal stress is low, and thus is unable to drive rapid slip. Alternatively, a more novel physical process could limit tremor's slip speeds. Changes in pore fluid pressure might pull the fault shut, inhibiting rapid slip. Or tremor could be a collection of failed earthquake nucleations, which arise because of stress perturbations on a nominally stable fault. In the proposed work, we will use targeted seismological analysis to assess five proposed models of tremor generation. We will test specific model predictions using high-quality seismic data from some of the best-observed tremor in the world: that near Parkfield, CA. To test our model predictions, we will first examine how tremor is related to shorter and longer slow earthquakes. If tremor is governed by the same novel fault zone physics that governs larger slow earthquakes, there should be a continuum of slow earthquakes with a wide range of sizes and slip rates. The presence or absence of the continuum will be important for constraining the processes governing large and small slow earthquakes, as only a few of the proposed models of large slow earthquakes are consistent with the continuum's wide-ranging slip rates. We will search for 0.05 to 1-second-long events in this continuum using recently developed seismic analysis techniques. And we will examine the clustering of tremor, in order to (1) identify larger, hours-long slow earthquakes potentially within the continuum and (2) to constrain the relationship between tremor and larger-scale slip. Finally, to further test the models, we will move into the details of individual tremor events and probe the evolution of slip in individual tremor earthquakes. We will closely examine the seismic signals produced by tremor in order to determine how tremor's earthquakes' durations, sizes, and complexities vary from event to event. These data will let us determine how much of tremor's properties are controlled by particular rheologies and how much is due to local fault zone structure. By pursuing a suite of features that can test our models, we will be able to determine which physical processes generate the numerous small earthquakes that constitute tremor, so that we may better understand slow earthquake slip and more confidently use tremor to track large-scale slip at depth.
- NERC Reference:
- NE/S00968X/1
- Grant Stage:
- Completed
- Scheme:
- Standard Grant FEC
- Grant Status:
- Closed
- Programme:
- Standard Grant
This grant award has a total value of £287,835
FDAB - Financial Details (Award breakdown by headings)
| DI - Other Costs | Indirect - Indirect Costs | DA - Investigators | DI - Staff | DA - Estate Costs | DA - Other Directly Allocated | DI - T&S |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| £3,654 | £114,183 | £28,099 | £96,540 | £34,448 | £1,416 | £9,497 |
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