Details of Award
NERC Reference : NE/N018486/1
Robust Spatial Projections of Real-World Climate Change
Grant Award
- Principal Investigator:
- Professor M Collins, University of Exeter, Mathematics
- Co-Investigator:
- Dr P Halloran, University of Exeter, Geography
- Co-Investigator:
- Professor D Williamson, University of Exeter, Mathematics and Statistics
- Co-Investigator:
- Professor G Vallis, University of Exeter, Mathematics and Statistics
- Co-Investigator:
- Professor DB Stephenson, University of Exeter, Mathematics and Statistics
- Co-Investigator:
- Dr FH Lambert, University of Exeter, Mathematics and Statistics
- Co-Investigator:
- Professor J Screen, University of Exeter, Mathematics and Statistics
- Grant held at:
- University of Exeter, Mathematics
- Science Area:
- Atmospheric
- Marine
- Terrestrial
- Overall Classification:
- Unknown
- ENRIs:
- Global Change
- Science Topics:
- Large Scale Dynamics/Transport
- Ocean - Atmosphere Interact.
- Water In The Atmosphere
- Climate & Climate Change
- Regional & Extreme Weather
- Abstract:
- Climate change is one of the leading global challenges facing society and the planet. Predicting how the climate will change as human activities lead to emission of more greenhouse gases is a global scientific challenge for climate scientists. We use models of the climate to make predictions. Because of limitations in computing power, and because of gaps in our understanding of the climate, these models are not perfect. Predictions from the models are, therefore, also not perfect. We are faced by the huge challenge of extracting robust information from climate models about how real-world climate will change in the future under specified scenarios of different greenhouse gas emissions. Such projections are central to leading climate change assessments, such as those produced by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). This project will provide a step-change in the ability of climate scientists to produce robust projections of climate change and to quantify the uncertainties in projections. A new framework will be developed that combines information from models, observations and our basic understanding of climate with modern statistical techniques to produce projections. This new framework will be applied to three important climate regimes of Earth: tropical and subtropical temperature and precipitation change; middle latitude cyclones and anti-cyclones; and polar temperature and sea-ice changes. We will bring together leading UK scientists (many are IPCC authors) from the Universities of Exeter, Reading, Oxford and East Anglia, and the Met Office, to address this grand challenge in climate science. We aim to precipitate a cultural shift that unifies diverse approaches from techniques to understand climate process and statistical methods and consolidate the UKs position as a world-leading centre for climate projection science.
- Period of Award:
- 1 Oct 2016 - 30 Sep 2021
- Value:
- £1,118,206 Lead Split Award
Authorised funds only
- NERC Reference:
- NE/N018486/1
- Grant Stage:
- Completed
- Scheme:
- Large Grant
- Grant Status:
- Closed
- Programme:
- Large Grant
This grant award has a total value of £1,118,206
FDAB - Financial Details (Award breakdown by headings)
| DI - Other Costs | Indirect - Indirect Costs | DA - Investigators | DA - Estate Costs | DI - Staff | DA - Other Directly Allocated | DI - T&S |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| £10,694 | £398,910 | £196,025 | £82,118 | £400,075 | £2,631 | £27,757 |
If you need further help, please read the user guide.