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Details of Award

NERC Reference : NE/L00206X/1

Assessing Risks of Investment in Groundwater Resources in Sub-Saharan Africa

Grant Award

Principal Investigator:
Dr J de Leeuw, World Agroforestry Centre, Research
Co-Investigator:
Dr B Kiteme, Training and Research Support Centre, UNLISTED
Co-Investigator:
Dr E Luedeling, University of Bonn, Obstbau & Gemusebau Institut
Co-Investigator:
Professor KM Homewood, University College London, Anthropology
Science Area:
Freshwater
Terrestrial
Overall Classification:
Freshwater
ENRIs:
Environmental Risks and Hazards
Natural Resource Management
Science Topics:
Nat Resources, Env & Rural Dev
Financial economics
Abstract:
Decision-makers in the developing and developed world are notoriously poor at considering the risk that an investment or intervention could fail to achieve its objectives. This is also true for groundwater development projects in African drylands. Social and environmental sustainability of groundwater refers to a fair distribution of this natural asset between users and across generations. Aquifers are one component of groundwater and require particularly careful management, particularly fossil aquifers, which do not replenish naturally. The risk is that current use of an aquifer will draw down on the water needs of future generations. To achieve sustainability, there is a need to properly assess any new water abstraction infrastructure, such as a pipeline to supply a town. The accuracy of such assessments is weakened by the fact that the current practice inadequately addresses uncertainties surrounding the impacts of increased groundwater use, particularly the impact of groundwater development on the aquifer and the people that relying upon it. Uncertainties around the impacts of groundwater development are particularly high for aquifers in dryland areas since information on the current geo-hydrological parameters and how these will evolve under future change is typically scarce. Thus, the proposed research will first develop a conceptual framework on how to address uncertainties around ground water development in data scarce areas. Second, it will use this to model the uncertainties around investments that significantly increase groundwater use. Third, the project aims to assess the social impacts of these increased water abstractions. To this end, it will assemble information, including the visions and perspectives of various stakeholders and groundwater users to support dialogue on how to achieve sustainable water use for Kenya's largest aquifer, the fossil Merti aquifer in arid northeastern Kenya. This aquifer provides water to the world's largest refugee camp, population 630,000, and may already be over-utilized. Furthermore, it feeds the Juba River, which runs through southern Somalia, the discharge of which is decreasing. The project will focus on plans -- already far advanced -- to increase abstractions from the Merti aquifer to supply drinking water to the city of Wajir. The initiation of a dialogue is complicated by scarce and unreliable data and lack of synthetic insight into the consequences of current and future use. Thus the challenge is to develop the information, which acknowledges uncertainties around the outcomes of the planned groundwater development to support a sustainable management approach in a data-scarce environment. The models that will be developed will assess the level of uncertainty and value of information of the basic geo-hydrological parameters. This value of information approach will serve as guidance for selection of key parameters to focus on for a follow up proposal to the next UPGro round with a view to supporting initiatives to manage the aquifer to achieve greater social sustainability including intergenerational equity.
Period of Award:
15 Jul 2013 - 31 Dec 2014
Value:
£146,827
Authorised funds only
NERC Reference:
NE/L00206X/1
Grant Stage:
Completed
Scheme:
Directed - International
Grant Status:
Closed
Programme:
UPGro

This grant award has a total value of £146,827  

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FDAB - Financial Details (Award breakdown by headings)

Indirect - Indirect CostsException - Other CostsDA - InvestigatorsDA - Estate CostsException - StaffException - T&SDI - T&S
£3,475£26,095£8,795£563£77,657£26,613£3,629

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