Details of Award
NERC Reference : NE/K007483/1
[Climate] Robust regional predictions of future rainfall changes for adaptation policy
Training Grant Award
- Lead Supervisor:
- Professor PM Forster, University of Leeds, School of Earth and Environment
- Grant held at:
- University of Leeds, School of Earth and Environment
- Science Area:
- Atmospheric
- Overall Classification:
- Atmospheric
- ENRIs:
- Environmental Risks and Hazards
- Global Change
- Natural Resource Management
- Science Topics:
- None
- Abstract:
- The factors controlling regional rainfall projections are very poorly understood. Yet adaptation decision makers need to know what aspects of the climate signal will be robust to make effective planning allowing for uncertainty in future climate. Most climate projections concentrate on the period after 2050, whereas climate change on the 10-20 year period is much more important for today's policy makers. Studies by University of Leeds scientists have shown that policy makers and scientists have different ways of viewing uncertainty and risk and that interpretation of uncertainty across European National adaptation strategies varies between countries. This PhD project aims to link new work on the surface energy budget with weather processes to develop a theoretical understanding of where robust signals of rainfall change can be found in climate projections. And then use these to make a future projection for 2020-2030. The PhD will develop the student from analysing existing climate model output through to performing dedicated Met Office model integrations. Analysis of UK public and stakeholder views on uncertainty in climate science will be used to help inform the production of appropriate communication material. Met Office CASE support and integration into existing stakeholder dissemination projects at Leeds will provide a route to disseminate key understanding, prepared and appropriately framed for decision makers' needs. As well as producing peer reviewed publications the student would be expected to produce a policy briefing and work with the UK climate projection team at the Met Office to inform the UK government of their findings, within an appropriate risk and uncertainty framework. Experienced Met Office and University of Leeds teams will provide dedicated training and computer support.
- NERC Reference:
- NE/K007483/1
- Grant Stage:
- Completed
- Scheme:
- DTG - directed
- Grant Status:
- Closed
- Programme:
- Open CASE
This training grant award has a total value of £68,671
FDAB - Financial Details (Award breakdown by headings)
| Total - Fees | Total - Student Stipend | Total - RTSG |
|---|---|---|
| £13,978 | £49,194 | £5,499 |
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