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Details of Award

NERC Reference : NE/J005878/1

Climate Model Initialization and Improvement using Particle Filters CLIMIP

Grant Award

Principal Investigator:
Professor P van Leeuwen, University of Reading, Meteorology
Co-Investigator:
Professor E Hawkins, University of Reading, National Centre for Atmospheric Science
Co-Investigator:
Professor RT Sutton, University of Reading, National Centre for Atmospheric Science
Science Area:
Atmospheric
Marine
Overall Classification:
Atmospheric
ENRIs:
Global Change
Science Topics:
Climate change
Earth & environmental
Oceanography
Climate & Climate Change
Regional & Extreme Weather
Mathematical Analysis
Dynamical Systems
Statistics & Appl. Probability
Bayesian Methods
Parametric Estimation
Abstract:
Policymakers require predictions of regional and local climate for the near-term (the next 1-30 years) in order to plan effective adaptation strategies. Such predictions exist, but are subject to considerable uncertainties, firstly because our global climate models (GCMs) are imperfect, and because of the internal variability of climate, which can mask or enhance the changes due to external forcings, especially on regional scales (e.g. Hawkins and Sutton, 2009). Progress in climate science to improve GCMs and reduce uncertainty, and to use them more effectively to predict some of the internal variability component would therefore be extremely valuable. This project addresses both of these areas by providing a novel new method for initialising the GCMs, comparing that method with the state-of-the-art DePreSys system, and by identifying the processes responsible for model biases, and hence suggesting methods for GCM improvement.
Period of Award:
25 Jun 2012 - 24 Sep 2016
Value:
£401,038
Authorised funds only
NERC Reference:
NE/J005878/1
Grant Stage:
Completed
Scheme:
Directed (Research Programmes)
Grant Status:
Closed
Programme:
NGWCP

This grant award has a total value of £401,038  

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FDAB - Financial Details (Award breakdown by headings)

DI - Other CostsException - Other CostsIndirect - Indirect CostsDA - InvestigatorsDI - StaffException - StaffDA - Estate CostsDI - T&SDA - Other Directly Allocated
£8,349£10,455£127,786£35,601£123,131£40,992£43,394£7,239£4,094

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