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Details of Award

NERC Reference : NE/H020462/1

Climate Change Predictions with a Fully Resolved Stratosphere

Grant Award

Principal Investigator:
Professor MR Allen, University of Oxford, Oxford Physics
Science Area:
Marine
Atmospheric
Overall Classification:
Atmospheric
ENRIs:
Global Change
Environmental Risks and Hazards
Science Topics:
Stratospheric Processes
Tropospheric Processes
Regional & Extreme Weather
Climate & Climate Change
Abstract:
Climate model simulations for the next assessment of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) are currently being prepared by climate modelling centres around the world. In this joint project with the Met Office, fully coupled atmosphere-ocean model simulations will be performed and analysed using a 'high-top' version of the Met Office Hadley Centre climate model that extends to 85km and therefore fully resolves processes in the stratosphere. Simulations of the past (1860-present) and into the future (to 2100) will be carried out. The project will examine the climate change signals predicted by the fully coupled ocean-troposphere-stratosphere model and investigate the stratospheric influence on surface climate. These aims will be achieved by careful analysis of the model runs, together with additional experiments to isolate processes, test mechanisms and improve statistical significance. Particular emphasis will be placed on (a) regional and seasonal patterns of surface change, especially the North Atlantic Oscillation and impacts over Europe, and (b) detection and attribution studies, exploiting the well-known tropospheric warming / stratospheric cooling signature of anthropogenic influence. Comparisons will be carried out with observations, with corresponding low-top model runs that do not fully resolve the stratosphere and with runs from high-top models carried out by other international climate modelling groups.
Period of Award:
1 Mar 2011 - 31 May 2014
Value:
£592,821 Split Award
Authorised funds only
NERC Reference:
NE/H020462/1
Grant Stage:
Completed
Scheme:
Partnership Research (FEC)
Grant Status:
Closed

This grant award has a total value of £592,821  

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FDAB - Financial Details (Award breakdown by headings)

DI - Other CostsIndirect - Indirect CostsDA - InvestigatorsDA - Estate CostsDI - StaffDI - T&SDA - Other Directly Allocated
£10,468£236,461£61,376£70,852£193,966£13,707£5,991

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