Details of Award
NERC Reference : NE/D00120X/1
Nonlinear Analysis and Prediction Statistics from Timeseries and Ensemble-forecast Realizations (NAPSTER)
Grant Award
- Principal Investigator:
- Professor LA Smith, London School of Economics & Pol Sci, Statistics
- Grant held at:
- London School of Economics & Pol Sci, Statistics
- Science Area:
- Marine
- Atmospheric
- Overall Classification:
- Marine
- ENRIs:
- Pollution and Waste
- Natural Resource Management
- Global Change
- Environmental Risks and Hazards
- Science Topics:
- Regional & Extreme Weather
- Environmental Informatics
- Technol. for Environ. Appl.
- Climate & Climate Change
- Abstract:
- This proposal will initialize an innovative knowledge transfer mechanism between the science base and users of environmental predictions. Weather impacts a large number of activities, and weather forecasts impact a great deal of decision making. Modern weather forecasts (in Europe, the US and Canada) provide a great deal more information than operational forecasts did 20 years ago, yet much of this information is not widely used. By working with a weather forecast provider, a information decision-system builder and a few decision makers, we will improve the transfer of information across the UK economy. Doing so will directly stimulate the improved use forecast information by other users, both industrial and public sector users, enabling better decision making under uncertainty. We cannot talk to more than a few individual companies, so our web interface will allow numerate users to get an initial idea of the value these forecasts might hold for predicting things that they are interested in; that will dramatically increase our impact on society. In addition, a better understanding of the needs of forecast users can assists in the development of models and interpretive techniques of forecasters, forecast information providers and decision systems builders. Ultimately, improved forecast products will increase the competitiveness of both users and providers, and this will benefit the UK economy as a whole.
- NERC Reference:
- NE/D00120X/1
- Grant Stage:
- Completed
- Scheme:
- EO Programmes Pre FEC
- Grant Status:
- Closed
- Programme:
- Good Ideas Project
This grant award has a total value of £152,481
FDAB - Financial Details (Award breakdown by headings)
Total - T&S | Total - Staff | Total - Other Costs | Total - Indirect Costs | Total - Equipment |
---|---|---|---|---|
£6,451 | £70,693 | £36,945 | £32,519 | £5,875 |
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