Details of Award
NERC Reference : NE/C509115/1
The impact of climate change on the North Atlantic and European storm-track and blocking.
Grant Award
- Principal Investigator:
- Professor Sir B Hoskins, University of Reading, Meteorology
- Co-Investigator:
- Dr M Blackburn, University of Reading, National Centre for Atmospheric Science
- Grant held at:
- University of Reading, Meteorology
- Science Area:
- Marine
- Atmospheric
- Overall Classification:
- Atmospheric
- ENRIs:
- Global Change
- Science Topics:
- Large Scale Dynamics/Transport
- Ocean - Atmosphere Interact.
- Regional & Extreme Weather
- Climate & Climate Change
- Abstract:
- The major impact of climate change in the European region is likely to be through changes in the storms coming through from the North Atlantic storm-track and in the blocking high-pressure systems that can occur there. Changes in the latitude, frequency or intensity of storms would have implications in terms of flooding and wind damage as well as average precipitation. Blocking highs bring settled spells with little precipitation and temperatures that can be much above average in summer and below average in winter, sometimes with snow. Again changes in their position, frequency or intensity would have important impacts. Reduction in the strength of the thermohaline circulation in the North Atlantic could induce rapid climate change through its impact on the storm-track and blocking. Even smoothly increasing greenhouse gases could lead to rapid changes in the storm-track and blocking either through a reduced thermohaline circulation or a non-linear response. At present there is little confidence in the climate models' abilities to project such changes. In this project, new high-resolution atmospheric models, new analyses of the atmosphere since 1958 and new diagnostic techniques will be used to give such projections and an assessment of the confidence that can be had in them.
- NERC Reference:
- NE/C509115/1
- Grant Stage:
- Completed
- Scheme:
- Directed Pre FEC
- Grant Status:
- Closed
- Programme:
- Rapid Climate Change
This grant award has a total value of £167,970
FDAB - Financial Details (Award breakdown by headings)
| Total - T&S | Total - Staff | Total - Other Costs | Total - Equipment | Total - Indirect Costs |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| £3,991 | £104,075 | £2,827 | £9,203 | £47,875 |
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