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Details of Award

NERC Reference : NE/M009920/1

Processes determining stratospheric water vapour

Training Grant Award

Lead Supervisor:
Professor PH Haynes, University of Cambridge, Applied Maths and Theoretical Physics
Science Area:
Atmospheric
Overall Classification:
Atmospheric
ENRIs:
Global Change
Science Topics:
Large Scale Dynamics/Transport
Stratospheric Processes
Tropospheric Processes
Water In The Atmosphere
Climate & Climate Change
Abstract:
Most air enters the stratosphere in the tropical tropopause region, where temperatures are low, and the resulting dehydration through freeze-drying reduces water vapour concentrations to very small values. Notwithstanding the very low concentrations, stratospheric water vapour is important in the chemistry-climate system through its role in stratospheric ozone chemistry and also through its effects on the radiative balance of the troposphere. For example it has recently been argued that observed interannual variations in stratospheric water vapour can have radiative effects similar to those on similar timescales of increasing greenhouse gases and also that there is a stratospheric water vapour climate feedback operating on longer timescales. For these reasons, variations in stratospheric water vapour observed over the last two or three decades and the possible changes in stratospheric water vapour in the future both have broad significance for the climate system. Model simulation of past and future changes depend on correct simulation of both the temperature distribution in the tropical tropopause region and the pathways taken by air parcels as they sample this distribution in moving from troposphere to stratosphere. Important aspects of this include both the annual cycle and the longitudinal variation in tropical tropopause temperatures and perhaps variation on intraseasonal and shorter timescales. The co-operating partners in this project will be the University of Cambridge and the Met Office. Improving simulation of stratospheric water vapour remains a challenge for Met Office Earth System Models that are used for climate prediction. There are strong links between the water vapour distribution in the lower stratosphere and the tropopause temperatures which in turn determine water vapour, so positive feedbacks are possible that may significantly enhance the effects of modest errors in model representation of other relevant processes. The project will build on recent work in Cambridge and elsewhere that (a) has exploited trajectory techniques to examine the annual, interannual and longer-term links between tropopause temperatures and stratospheric water vapour and (b) has investigated the radiative coupling between water vapour and temperatures in the tropical tropopause region using a combination of offline radiative calculations and simple dynamical models. The focus of the project will be to analyse the variations of water vapour on monthly, annual, interannual and longer timescales simulated by the Met Office Unified Model (UM) and link these to the corresponding temperature and transport variations. (One component of this analysis would be use of a trajectory code which is already available for the UM.) The results will be compared against corresponding analysis of the recent history of the real atmosphere (some of which is already on record in scientific publications). In its later stages the project will consider the two-way coupling between tropical tropopause temperatures and water vapour concentrations in the UM and assess the possible implications for model predictions of long-term changes in these quantities. During visits to the Met Office the student will investigate these processes in long historical and scenario simulations of the new UKESM1 earth system model that will support future climate and ozone assessments. The work in the studentship project will provide an opportunity for the student to make a contribution in a scientific area that is both of fundamental interest and of real practical interest to the Met Office earth-system modelling effort.
Period of Award:
1 Oct 2015 - 30 Sep 2019
Value:
£85,122
Authorised funds only
NERC Reference:
NE/M009920/1
Grant Stage:
Completed
Scheme:
DTG - directed
Grant Status:
Closed
Programme:
Industrial CASE

This training grant award has a total value of £85,122  

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FDAB - Financial Details (Award breakdown by headings)

Total - FeesTotal - RTSGTotal - Student Stipend
£16,587£11,000£57,538

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